Nationals Retrospective: Week 14

 

Bryce Harper is back. Wilson Ramos is back. Dan Haren is (unfortunately) coming back. Despite the loss of Ross Detwiler to the DL with a lower back problem, this was a strong week from the Nationals, who posted a 5-2 record with a disappointing four game split against the Brewers followed by an impressive sweep of the lowly Padres. With all the position players back and fully healthy, the offense has really come alive, scoring 43 runs in 7 games, and has been able to overcome some mediocre bullpen work to give the team four straight wins for the first time since early May. With seven games left before the all-star break (on the road against the Phillies and Marlins) and the NL East leading Braves only four games ahead, the Nats have done an impressive job cutting the division lead down in a short amount of time. Still, despite the myriad different positive takeaways one could make from this week, a couple of observations were disheartening and will hopefully be remedied in the weeks (and break) ahead. Through all the good, the bad, the meh, let’s take a closer look at how the Nats got to 46-42 and sit poised to make some serious noise in the coming NL East race.

OBSERVATIONS:

PHENOMENAL: WILSON “VAMOS” RAMOS

Kurt Suzuki has done more than an admirable job filling in for Ramos while he was nursing his hamstring injury; after all, he is an above average defensive catcher who has been deft in his ability to manage a starting rotation that has been consistently in flux this year. But Suzuki has been below average at the plate, posting a .224/.281/.327 line on the year. Considering he was a .250-.260 player last year when he came over at the trade deadline, one has to wonder whether the increased time behind the plate sapped his hitting ability. But with the return of Ramos, Suzuki will now have more rest before each start and it will hopefully help both players provide stability and some danger to the bottom half of the hitting order. Ramos, despite his defensive deficiencies, is an above average hitter, and he put that on display during his 4th of July return, going 3-4 and hitting a two run single in the sixth and a game winning three run HR in the 7th that sealed the win – and the series split – over the Brewers. On Friday, Ramos hit a pair of singles to finish the day 2-4, driving in three runs in the process. All told, in the three games he has played since his return, he’s put up a .500/.500/.833 stat line that will obviously regress to the mean at some point, but has been one of the biggest contributors to the 8, 8, and 11 run explosions the Nats put up in the games he played. While it would be nice if he could add the element of throwing base-runners out on steal attempts to his repertoire (Kurt Suzuki’s .125 caught stealing percentage was the second lowest for qualifying catchers in the league this season), his .270 average bat has been sorely needed for this offensively deficient team.

GOOD: TYLER CLIPPARD

The struggles of some members of the Nats bullpen (more on that in a second) have overshadowed what has been another phenomenal season from Tyler Clippard, who deserves to make the all-star team since his ascendance to one of the league’s best 8th inning pitchers. He pitched in four of this week’s seven games, surrendering no runs while posting a solid 5:1 K/BB ratio. More importantly, he had a week that saw him throw less of his customary “20 pitch work myself into a jam and then get out of it” scenario. He threw 8 pitches in Monday’s 10-5 win over Milwaukee. He pitched only 13 in Friday’s 8-5 win over San Diego. While his other two outings so pitch counts in the upper teens, they came because he was striking people out, not because he was getting hit – in fact, Clippard didn’t even give up a hit in his four innings of work. It was an absolutely dominant performance from a guy who has been remarkably consistent this year, and he has been one of the most important cogs in ensuring that the Nationals are where they are at this point in the season. He definitely has my vote for all-star considerations.

MEH: DREW STOREN

It has been well documented that Storen has not been “Clippard-esque” this season, struggling a lot more often than he has in recent seasons. I don’t know if those struggles are in connection with his demotion from closer to 7th inning reliever, or if he has a physical problem he’s not letting on, but he had a couple bad outings that would have looked a lot worse had he not come back strong to record two positive outings in a row to make it a so-so week. In Tuesday’s 4-1 loss to Milwaukee, Storen came into a 0-0 game and promptly gave up all four runs, getting absolutely shelled by a Milwaukee team that had been struggling all day. But hey, bad starts happen – it would be unrealistic of fans to expect a reliever to go out there everytime and pitch a scoreless inning of relief. But he followed up that bad outing with another one in Thursday’s dramatic 8-5 victory, giving up two HR’s to Yuniesky Betancourt and Carlos Gomez that tied the game and forced the Nats into doing something theatrical in order to win the game. To be fair, he followed up those bad outings with two really good ones, going scoreless on both Saturday and Sunday, the former of which only required five pitches of work to retire the side. Hopefully he’s figured out what was bothering him earlier in the week – after all, he’s probably their second best reliever after Clippard, so having him back on track from his earlier struggles will be key in the coming weeks.  

BAD: CRAIG STAMMEN

When the offense puts up the numbers they did, and the starting pitching was about as good as it has been all year, it’s hard to look anywhere else other than the bullpens for signs of struggles this past week. Unfortunately, it was another really rough week for long reliever Craig Stammen, who has not looked impressive in any outing he’s had in last 2 to 2 ½ weeks or so. He has now given up at least one run in five of his last six outings, and his one scoreless appearance required impressive defensive plays from Anthony Rendon and Denard Span to preserve the quality appearance.  His two most recent appearances were the most troubling. On Friday, he entered the game in the top half of the 7th after Gio Gonzalez had put one man on base and worked his pitch count well above 100. Needing one out, he gave up a single to Chris Denorfia which brought Carlos Quentin at the plate. Stammen promptly threw an 82 MPH slider that didn’t slide at all, giving it the appearance of a batting practice fastball that was absolutely murdered into the left field bleachers. I will confess that I found it curious Stammen had entered the game in this position and not Fernando Abad or Ian Krol, who have now not pitched since the 2nd and 3rd respectively, but I can understand Davey’s desire to get him one high leverage out to boost his confidence from his recent bad outings. I can also understand Stammen coming out on Sunday with an 11-4 lead, hoping to get 1-2 innings of quality work in without the stress of needing to preserve a slender lead. But Sunday’s outing was a disaster – he gave up 5 hits and 3 runs (2 earned) that made his ERA climb to an alarming 3.86 on the season. I’m hoping this is just a rough patch that some relievers experience over the course of the long season, but given Ross Ohlendorf’s lackluster performance in the long relief spot earlier this week, having Stammen back to his customary best will be key, especially with Dan Haren and Taylor Jordan expected to have multiple starts in the coming weeks. Given their proclivity/inexperience in pitching deep into games, having a solid long reliever will help give us some wins that may not be expected, like his dominant four inning relief game against the Braves back in early May when Strasburg left injured. I’m optimistic that some rest during the all-star break will help him out, but for now, there is no denying that his week was the most troublesome from a fan’s perspective.

AROUND THE NL EAST

ATLANTA BRAVES

The Nats finally caught a break scheduling wise this week, as their 5-2 record was matched by a pedestrian 2-4 record from the Braves, who lost two of three to the Marlins at home before dropping two of three against the Phillies in Philadelphia. Vanderbilt alum Mike Minor has had a rough go of it lately, not winning a decision in four straight starts – his most recent start against Miami on Wednesday saw him get tagged for six hits and four runs over the course of six very high leverage innings. Equally disappointing was Kris Medlen, who gave up 8 hits, 7 runs (6 earned), and 3 walks in only 5 1/3rd innings of work on Sunday in a loss to the Phillies. At the plate, they have a number of guys who are seriously struggling: B.J Upton is now batting an Espinosa-like .175, offensive sieve Dan Uggla is batting .205, and Jayson Heyward is batting .229. If it weren’t for the very impressive play from all-star caliber catcher Bryan McCann, this team would have some serious problems at the plate. Elsewhere, 1B Freddie Freeman is the current leader in the NL All-Star game final fan vote, with Nats shortstop Ian Desmond in fourth place. Freeman is a quality player, but I think Nats fans would much rather see Desmond get the nod, so it will be curious to see if he can make it over Desmond and Dodgers phenom Yasiel Puig when the end of voting comes around.

PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES

A nice 4-2 week for the Phillies, who took two of three from the league best Pirates in Pittsburgh before returning home and taking two of three from the Braves. Jonathan Pappelbon had a pretty solid week, recording four scoreless outings of his own, including three save opportunities, to help ensure that his team finished the week with a winning record. In those outings, he only gave up two hits and never pitched more than 18 pitches in any of his four outings this week. Domonic Brown had another impressive week at the dish, posting a .375/.385/.750 slash line at the plate this week, including an absolute bomb on Sunday that constituted his 23rd HR of the season. His emergence continues to be a bright spot for a Phillies team that, at 43-46, really needs to get hot if they have any shot of making some noise come September and October.  

NEW YORK METS

A split with the division leading Arizona Diamondbacks followed by a series win in Milwaukee saw the Mets go 4-3 on the week. Leading the charge was starting pitcher Jeremy Heffner, who in his two starts this past week, went 7 innings and gave up one run in both contests, which resulted in wins for his ballclub. His peripherals this week were equally impressive; nearly a 5:1 K/BB ratio and a .65 WHIP make it obvious that he was pretty dominant in his two starts this week. He might not be this kind of pitcher all the time, but if he can provide regular above replacement level caliber pitching, he would be a nice compliment to the Matt Harvey/Zach Wheeler one-two punch that should be around for some time. Kirk Nieuwenheis had a pretty solid week at the plate, hitting .450 and showing some serious prowess in Friday’s 12-5 win over the Brewers. He was a HR away from the cycle and had 5 RBI’s to boot. I guess he might be slightly better than Rick Ankiel.

MIAMI MARLINS

They played the finale of a four game set on Monday at San Diego that resulted in a win, took two of three from the Barves Braves, then promptly got swept by the very good St. Louis Cardinals to finish the week 3-4. Giancarlo Stanton is struggling mightily, and his numbers this week serve as a microcosm for the season he’s had as a whole. He went .160/.323/.200 at the dish this week, and his season totals of .246/.343/.434 pale in comparison to his career norms of .268/.349/.539. I know he had a stint on the DL, but I think the whole world is surprised that the explosive hitter has only hit 8 HR’s this year. While some of their young arms have been surprisingly better than expected, and they’ve also gotten some quality relief innings from makeshift closer Scott Cishek, Stanton’s disappointing campaign leaves a lot to be desired for Marlins fans in what continues to be an unfortunate season. 

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   X-NONE   X-NONE                                                                    

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}

© 2016 Citizens of Natstown