Series #21 Preview: Nats vs Twins

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   X-NONE   X-NONE                                                                    

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}

Continuing with the up and down nature of their season thus far, the Nationals split a two game series with the Mets; winning the first in the 9th and losing the second by nine. Roster moves finally came with the DFA of Zack Duke and Henry Rodriguez and the placing of Danny Espinosa on the DL. In their place, Jayson Werth returned to the active roster and relievers Ian Krol and Fernando Abad were recalled. In further injury news Stephen Strasburg was placed on the 15-day DL for his lat strain. The move was retroactive to June 1 so Stras is eligible to return on June 16. Rainouts and the likely return of Ross Detwiler next week should rid the Nats of needing to call up another starter to fill out the rotation. A rainout on both Thursday and Friday should leave the Nats well rested and ready to get their record to over .500 and begin the process of whittling down the Braves lead in the NL East.

The Twins come to Washington sporting a 26-31 record, having won seven of their last ten but most recently dropped two straight to the Royals. Their offense ranks 22nd in OPS at .700, and they have a bunch of hitters who as a team walk nearly 9% of the time, good for 6th in MLB but they also strike out 20.8% of the time which is in the bottom 1/3 of MLB. Offense is where the positives tail off for the Twins, their starting rotation has the third worst ERA (5.27) and sixth worst FIP (4.84) while having the worst K/9 in baseball at 4.33. The Twins also rank last in defense, having posted a -18.5 UZR as a team through the first 1/3 of the season.

Be sure to check out our detailed scouting report on Kevin Correia and Scott Diamond! 

Game 60: Saturday, June 8, Nationals Park 4:05pm, Kevin  Correia, RHP (5-4, 4.09 ERA) vs. Gio  Gonzalez, LHP (3-3, 3.64 ERA)

 

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   JA   X-NONE                                                                       

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;}

Former Giant, Padre and Pirate Kevin Correia will get the start on Saturday for the Twins. As has been the case with him for the majority of his career, Correia has been fairly unspectacular this season; accounting for a 0 WAR over 11 starts 4.09 ERA (5.24 FIP). The peripherals are even worse, specifically his K/9 as he’s only managing to strike out 3.71 batters per nine innings, good for dead last among qualified starting pitchers. He’s made it through the sixth inning in all but three starts this year, including his most recent two. He’s also allowed nine homeruns in his last 23.2 IP, so just over a home run every 2.2 IP.

Correia throws everything but the kitchen sink, and none of it has been particularly effective so far this year. He carries a Slider (84-90, 88 avg), Four-Seam Fastball (87-93, 90 avg), Changeup (83-88, 86 avg), Two-Seam Fastball (88-93, 90 avg), Curveball (76-80, 78 avg), and occasionally throws a Cutter (87-91, 90 avg).

In 13 career appearances (6 starts) against Washington, Correia is 3-3 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.253 WHIP. Current Nats have combined for a .726 OPS against him with Adam LaRoche (1.147 OPS, 27 PA’s) and Jayson Werth (.785 OPS, 13 PA’s) leading the way. 

Current Nationals vs. Kevin Correia:

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="PA" class="tooltip" tip="Plate Appearances
When available, we use actual plate appearances from play-by-play game accounts
Otherwise estimated using AB + BB + HBP + SF + SH,
which excludes catcher interferences.
When this color click for a summary of each PA." align="center">PA

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="batting_avg" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="Hits/At Bats
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played
Bold indicates highest BA using current stats
Gold means awarded title at end of year." align="center">BA

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="onbase_perc" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="(H + BB + HBP)/(At Bats + BB + HBP + SF)
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">OBP

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="slugging_perc" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="Total Bases/At Bats or
(1B + 2*2B + 3*3B + 4*HR)/AB

For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">SLG

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="onbase_plus_slugging" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="On-Base + Slugging Percentages
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">OPS

AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO
Adam LaRoche 27 23 7 4 0 2 5 4 5 .304 .407 .739 1.147
Ryan Zimmerman 19 17 5 0 0 0 0 2 1 .294 .368 .294 .663
Jayson Werth 13 10 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 .200 .385 .400 .785
Chad Tracy 7 5 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 .000 .143 .000 .143
Ian Desmond 7 7 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Roger Bernadina 6 6 2 1 0 1 1 0 0 .333 .333 1.000 1.333
Kurt Suzuki 5 5 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 .200 .200 .200 .400
Denard Span 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Fernando Abad 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Steve Lombardozzi 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 89 78 17 7 0 3 7 9 14 .218 .303 .423 .726
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 6/7/2013.

 

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   JA   X-NONE                                                                       

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;}

After an inconsistent April left him with a 5.34 ERA (4.13 FIP) Gio has been much better; compiling a 2.27 ERA since the calendar turned to May. Over that same period Gio has held opposing batters to just a .545 OPS over 39.2 IP. In his most recent outing, at Atlanta he went seven strong innings allowing one run on three hits and a walk while striking out seven.

Gio has had six career starts against the Twins and emerged with a 2-3 record, a 7.80 ERA and a 1.867 WHIP. In 31 PA’s against current Twins he hasn’t fared much better as they hold a combined .894 OPS against Gio. The two Twins with the most success are the two you’d suspect: Justin Morneau with a 2.100 OPS in 6 PA’s and Joe Mauer with a .786 OPS over 14 PA’s.   

Current Twins vs. Gio Gonzalez:

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="PA" class="tooltip" tip="Plate Appearances
When available, we use actual plate appearances from play-by-play game accounts
Otherwise estimated using AB + BB + HBP + SF + SH,
which excludes catcher interferences.
When this color click for a summary of each PA." align="center">PA

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="batting_avg" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="Hits/At Bats
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played
Bold indicates highest BA using current stats
Gold means awarded title at end of year." align="center">BA

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="onbase_perc" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="(H + BB + HBP)/(At Bats + BB + HBP + SF)
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">OBP

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="slugging_perc" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="Total Bases/At Bats or
(1B + 2*2B + 3*3B + 4*HR)/AB

For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">SLG

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="onbase_plus_slugging" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="On-Base + Slugging Percentages
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">OPS

AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO
Joe Mauer 14 14 4 0 0 1 1 0 1 .286 .286 .500 .786
Justin Morneau 6 5 2 0 0 2 7 1 0 .400 .500 1.600 2.100
Jamey Carroll 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 .000 .200 .000 .200
Clete Thomas 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 .333 .333 .333 .667
Ryan Doumit 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .333 .000 .333
Total 31 28 7 0 0 3 9 3 5 .250 .323 .571 .894
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 6/7/2013.

Game 61: Sunday, June 9, Nationals Park 1:35pm, Scott  Diamond, LHP (4-4, 4.66 ERA) vs. Nate  Karns, RHP (0-1, 6.00 ERA)

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   X-NONE   X-NONE                                                                    

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;}

 

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   JA   X-NONE                                                                       

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;}

Former highly touted prospect Scott Diamond, while having a perfect name for baseball, has not been good this season. His most recent outing against Seattle was a six-inning shutout while allowing four hits and striking out three. It was also his first quality start in five attempts. After the promising start against the Mariners, opposing hitters are still combining for an .847 OPS against him this season while Diamond is only striking out a paltry 4.18 per nine innings.

Diamond throws a Fastball (84-91, 88 avg), Curveball (77-85, 81 avg) and a Changeup (80-86, 83 avg). He has never faced the Nats and the only current National to face him is Kurt Suzuki. 

Current Nationals vs. Scott Diamond:

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="PA" class="tooltip" tip="Plate Appearances
When available, we use actual plate appearances from play-by-play game accounts
Otherwise estimated using AB + BB + HBP + SF + SH,
which excludes catcher interferences.
When this color click for a summary of each PA." align="center">PA

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="batting_avg" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="Hits/At Bats
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played
Bold indicates highest BA using current stats
Gold means awarded title at end of year." align="center">BA

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="onbase_perc" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="(H + BB + HBP)/(At Bats + BB + HBP + SF)
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">OBP

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="slugging_perc" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="Total Bases/At Bats or
(1B + 2*2B + 3*3B + 4*HR)/AB

For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">SLG

<th onclick="" onmouseout="" onmouseover="" style="background-color: #ddd; border: 1px solid #aaa; padding: 2px;" data-stat="onbase_plus_slugging" class="tooltip hide_non_quals" tip="On-Base + Slugging Percentages
For recent years, leaders need 3.1 PA
per team game played" align="center">OPS

AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO
Kurt Suzuki 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Total 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Play Index Tool Used
Generated 6/7/2013.

 

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   JA   X-NONE                                                                       

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;}

Making his third start since being called up to take the place of an injured Ross Detwiler, Nathan Karns hasn’t pitched particularly well. Obviously small sample size warning here, in his two Major League starts he’s yet to make it through the fifth inning, compiling a 6.00 ERA (7.85 FIP), 1.67 WHIP and a 4.00 HR/9. The homeruns will certainly normalize downwards, but the line as a whole has not been impressive thus far. His most recent outing saw him go 4.1 innings while giving up three runs on five hits (two homeruns). As Karns has only made two starts he has not faced the Twins or any current Twins.    

Game 62: Sunday, June 9, Nationals Park 7:05pm, Samuel Deduno, RHP (2-1, 3.44 ERA) vs. Jordan  Zimmermann, RHP (8-3, 2.16 ERA)

Despite getting shelled by the Tigers in his season debut on May 24, Dominican World Baseball Classic hero Samuel Deduno has put together two very solid starts in his most recent outings against Milwaukee and Kansas City. The outing against the Royals included six innings of shutout ball, while only allowing four hits and two walks while striking out five.

Deduno throws a Fastball (86-93, 90 avg), Curveball (77-85, 81 avg), Cutter (83-92, 89 avg) and a Changeup (82-86, 84 avg). Deduno has not faced the Nats or any current Nationals.

 

  Normal   0           false   false   false     EN-US   JA   X-NONE                                                                       

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

/* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-font-family:Cambria; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Cambria; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;}

The rock of the rotation since day one of the 2013 season, Jordan Zimmermann had one hiccup of a game against Baltimore. He bounced right back against the Mets in his most recent outing with eight innings of four hit ball, allowing two unearned runs while striking out four. This will be his first chance at facing the Twins with the only player on their roster to have faced Jordan being Mike Pelfrey.


Headed down to Nats Park? Be sure to grab your Nationals tickets here! 

© 2016 Citizens of Natstown